Welcome to the 2019 edition of the RW23 hitter projections for the Milwaukee Brewers. RW23 — creatively named after Rickie Weeks — was created in 2017 with the help of Mike Podhorzer and his book, “Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance.”
Below you’ll find the RW23 hitter projections for the 2019 Milwaukee Brewers, along with the Steamer and ZiPS projection systems for comparison. In its debut season, RW23’s hitter projections went toe-to-toe with Steamer, while solidly beating ZiPS.
Remember projections are just projections. Don’t take them as fact. But feel free to bash them in the comments section.
C Yasmani Grandal
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
532 |
.247 |
.355 |
.487 |
.842 |
.240 |
.361 |
28 |
24.0% |
14.1% |
.280 |
Steamer |
496 |
.237 |
.344 |
.453 |
.797 |
.216 |
.345 |
23 |
25.0% |
13.5% |
.277 |
ZiPS |
475 |
.238 |
.349 |
.462 |
.811 |
.223 |
.351 |
23 |
25.7% |
14.3% |
.281 |
1B Jesus Aguilar
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
595 |
.258 |
.329 |
.480 |
.810 |
.223 |
.346 |
30 |
27.2% |
8.8% |
.309 |
Steamer |
578 |
.242 |
.317 |
.454 |
.771 |
.212 |
.330 |
28 |
26.4% |
9.1% |
.286 |
ZiPS |
526 |
.258 |
.333 |
.492 |
.825 |
.234 |
.350 |
28 |
25.3% |
9.5% |
.297 |
2B Mike Moustakas
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
603 |
.269 |
.330 |
.508 |
.838 |
.239 |
.356 |
34 |
16.6% |
8.1% |
.270 |
Steamer |
575 |
.261 |
.321 |
.489 |
.809 |
.228 |
.342 |
30 |
16.5% |
7.5% |
.264 |
ZiPS |
580 |
.267 |
.324 |
.506 |
.818 |
.239 |
.350 |
32 |
16.2% |
7.1% |
.268 |
3B Travis Shaw
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
595 |
.282 |
.376 |
.534 |
.910 |
.252 |
.386 |
34 |
19.0% |
12.9% |
.298 |
Steamer |
598 |
.249 |
.334 |
.457 |
.791 |
.209 |
.338 |
27 |
21.3% |
10.8% |
.276 |
ZiPS |
560 |
.261 |
.340 |
.472 |
.812 |
.219 |
.346 |
26 |
21.4% |
11.1% |
.282 |
SS Orlando Arcia
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
552 |
.245 |
.293 |
.357 |
.650 |
.112 |
.286 |
11 |
22.9% |
6.2% |
.303 |
Steamer |
507 |
.253 |
.302 |
.377 |
.679 |
.123 |
.293 |
10 |
19.4% |
6.2% |
.299 |
ZiPS |
553 |
.247 |
.294 |
.360 |
.654 |
.113 |
.283 |
10 |
21.3% |
6.0% |
.302 |
OF Ryan Braun
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
460 |
.270 |
.331 |
.493 |
.824 |
.222 |
.351 |
20 |
19.8% |
8.0% |
.300 |
Steamer |
507 |
.265 |
.330 |
.476 |
.807 |
.212 |
.342 |
23 |
19.6% |
8.4% |
.290 |
ZiPS |
440 |
.269 |
.332 |
.470 |
.802 |
.201 |
.340 |
18 |
19.5% |
8.2% |
.300 |
OF Lorenzo Cain
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
600 |
.296 |
.372 |
.424 |
.796 |
.128 |
.349 |
12 |
15.8% |
10.3% |
.339 |
Steamer |
620 |
.284 |
.356 |
.422 |
.778 |
.138 |
.339 |
14 |
16.9% |
9.2% |
.327 |
ZiPS |
568 |
.287 |
.359 |
.409 |
.768 |
.123 |
.336 |
11 |
16.2% |
9.3% |
.330 |
OF Christian Yelich
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
662 |
.310 |
.390 |
.544 |
.934 |
.234 |
.397 |
29 |
20.5% |
11.0% |
.360 |
Steamer |
637 |
.297 |
.381 |
.515 |
.896 |
.218 |
.382 |
26 |
20.5% |
11.2% |
.344 |
ZiPS |
673 |
.298 |
.379 |
.522 |
.901 |
.224 |
.384 |
28 |
21.1% |
10.8% |
.349 |
1B Eric Thames
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
340 |
.232 |
.316 |
.478 |
.794 |
.246 |
.342 |
19 |
32.3% |
10.0% |
.295 |
Steamer |
258 |
.235 |
.329 |
.459 |
.788 |
.224 |
.336 |
12 |
30.3% |
11.2% |
.299 |
ZiPS |
427 |
.229 |
.333 |
.478 |
.818 |
.256 |
.346 |
23 |
32.3% |
12.2% |
.293 |
OF Ben Gamel
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
322 |
.272 |
.346 |
.416 |
.762 |
.144 |
.332 |
6 |
19.7% |
9.5% |
.330 |
Steamer |
110 |
.267 |
.333 |
.393 |
.725 |
.126 |
.316 |
2 |
20.9% |
8.5% |
.330 |
ZiPS |
530 |
.267 |
.331 |
.413 |
.744 |
.146 |
.322 |
9 |
20.4% |
8.3% |
.326 |
INF Hernan Perez
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
295 |
.254 |
.288 |
.398 |
.686 |
.143 |
.297 |
9 |
21.6% |
4.6% |
.301 |
Steamer |
216 |
.253 |
.290 |
.294 |
.685 |
.141 |
.295 |
5 |
20.0% |
4.9% |
.294 |
ZiPS |
415 |
.255 |
.286 |
.401 |
.686 |
.145 |
.294 |
11 |
20.5% |
4.3% |
.298 |
INF Cory Spangenberg
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
252 |
.264 |
.328 |
.426 |
.753 |
.162 |
.328 |
8 |
27.1% |
8.0% |
.339 |
Steamer |
75 |
.245 |
.306 |
.383 |
.688 |
.138 |
.300 |
2 |
28.4% |
7.4% |
.328 |
ZiPS |
461 |
.246 |
.306 |
.406 |
.712 |
.160 |
.308 |
13 |
30.4% |
7.2% |
.337 |
INF Tyler Saladino
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
129 |
.228 |
.285 |
.365 |
.650 |
.137 |
.285 |
3 |
25.9% |
5.3% |
.308 |
Steamer |
81 |
.230 |
.293 |
.352 |
.645 |
.121 |
.283 |
2 |
24.2% |
7.3% |
.290 |
ZiPS |
321 |
.228 |
.292 |
.345 |
.636 |
.117 |
.280 |
6 |
23.1% |
7.5% |
.283 |
C Manny Pina
|
PA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
ISO |
wOBA |
HR |
K% |
BB% |
BABIP |
RW23 |
261 |
.239 |
.303 |
.365 |
.668 |
.126 |
.293 |
6 |
19.0% |
6.7% |
.281 |
Steamer |
96 |
.250 |
.306 |
.388 |
.694 |
.138 |
.301 |
2 |
20.4% |
6.6% |
.296 |
ZiPS |
334 |
.247 |
.303 |
.385 |
.688 |
.138 |
.297 |
8 |
19.2% |
6.3% |
.285 |
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RW23 has 249 dingerz for just the Brewers listed. That’ll work.
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